"Service to others is the rent you pay for your room here on earth." Muhammad Ali

"Without tradition, art is a flock of sheep without a shepherd. Without innovation, it is a corpse." Winston Churchill

"Not everything that counts can be counted, and not everything that can be counted counts." Albert Einstein

Today's image: Torn by michelleBlack. Amazing. Thank you very much for sharing.

Finished reading the Clay Shirky book, Here Comes Everybody. Highly recommended (Amazon info). Over the next few weeks I'll share some lessons learned. Today from Shirky, Chapter 10, Failure For Free. He shares a great quote by Sun Microsystems founder Bill Joy "No matter who you are, most of the smart people work for someone else."

In a presentation on open source (e.g., Linux, SourceForge) and the power of failure Shirky writes...

"Open source is a profound threat, not because the open source ecosystem is outsucceeding commercial efforts but because it is outfailing them. Because the open source ecosystem, and by extension open social systems generally, rely on peer production, the work on those systems can be considerably more experimental, at considerably less cost, than any firm can afford. Why? The most important reasons are that open systems lower the cost of failure, they do not create biases in favor of predictable but substandard outcomes, and they make it simpler to integrate the contributions of people who contribute only a single idea.

The overall effect of failure is its likelihood times its cost. Most organizations attempt to reduce the effect of failure by reducing its likelihood. Imagine that you are spearheading an effort for a firm that wants to become more innovative. You are given a list of promising but speculative ideas, and you have to choose some subset of them for investment. You thus have to guess the likelihood of success or failure for each project. The obvious problem is that no one knows for certain what will succeed and what will fail. A less obvious but potentially more significant problem is that the possible value of various projects is unconnected to anything their designers say about them. In these circumstances, you will inevitably green-light failures and pass on potential successes. Worst still, more people will remember you saying yes to a failure than saying no to a radical but promising idea. Given this asymmetry, you will be pushed to make safe choices, thus systematically undermining the rationale for trying to be more innovative in the first place.

The open source movement makes neither kind of mistake, because it doesn't have employees, it doesn't make investments, it doesn't even make decisions. It is not an organization, it is an ecosystem, and one that is remarkably tolerant of failure. Open source doesn't reduce the likelihood of failure, it reduces the cost of failure; it essentially gets failure for free. This reversal, where the cost of deciding what to try is higher than the cost of actually trying them, is true of open systems generally. As with the mass amateurization of media, open source relies on the 'publish-then-filter' pattern."

First tribe of wireless rings register in the city: 2007 top ten radio billers in millions (BIA). WLTW 62.8, WINS 57.7, WCBS-AM 53.7, WHTZ 52.3, WFAN 37.5, WPLJ 35.8, WSKQ 35.3, WAXQ 34.4, WBLS 33.2, WQHT 32.3.

Bonus: Cluuz

The Pierre & Tom Show: Arbitron and Edison Media Research present topline from their annual study "The Infinite Dial: Radio's Digital Platforms" via webcast tomorrow at 2pm eastern. You'll need to register here.

Disappearing act: The sideman as solo star. I really enjoy reading Mel Phillips' blog, it's one of my guilty pleasures over morning coffee, a unique pop culture mashup. Mel remembers "Music Memories" as part of his format. Which brought to mind, the sideman. Are we witness to the end of days for the sideman turned solo star? Back in the day the instrumental hit song, while rare, was still possible but is that true today? Kenny G plays on but is confined to one format (Smooth Jazz/NAC). I guess you could make the case he is also played occasionally by some soft AC stations. Will today's CHR, AC and Hot AC play an instrumental? This is apropos of nothing, or is it? Radio programming and branding ace Michael Fischer weighs in via comments. Thanks, Michael! Your thoughts are also welcome, please opine via comments. Is the instrumental hit dead? (Perhaps all we need do is await the next blessing of Steve Jobs, the tech CEO turned modern day music director and hitmaker).

Congrats & cheers: Drew Horowitz, Greg Solk and team Bonneville launches 100.3 fm, The Sound, World Class Rock for Southern California. The Webby Noms including: Kurt Hanson's AccuTunes and KEXP (Radio), Ning and Flock (Social Networking), TED and The Onion (Podcasts), Dwell (Magazine), Epicurious (Lifestyle), I Can Has Cheezburger (Humor), American RadioWorks (Education), StumbleUpon (Community), Indexed (Blog - Culture/Personal).

"No one who deserves confidence ever solicits it." John Lennon

"Most great men and women are not perfectly rounded in their personalities, but are instead people whose one driving enthusiasm is so great it makes their faults seem insignificant." Charles Cerami

"It's the friends you can call up at 4:00 a.m. that really matter." Marlene Dietrich

Bulletin from Fly-over Land: Hey NFL, we ain't gonna buy your network. Watching the Packers tonight at one of my brother-in-laws' restaurants. The NFL Network wants us to blame cable. That dog don't hunt.

Spots & dots: Net TV CPM $25, TV Broadband CPM $30+. Jon Lafayette at TV Week offers the back story here.

VOTE! IWM's 2007 Media Person of the Year, all the big kids are voting, join them and vote here.

Midtown buzz: News Corp & LinkedIn $1 billion, not enough? A billion dollars? Not a bad offer for a site that did 2782k in uniques last month (comScore - see yesterday's post). $359 a unique? The recent chatter about Facebook being valued at $15 billion plays out at over $455 a unique (using the same comScore data set). Smells like 1999.

Mad Ave buzz: You may expect to hear more and more about measures of attention and engagement. Here's one snap shot of an attention metric from Compete. My thanks to Max Freiert.


Others of note in the top 200: #28, Univision +129%, #33, Netflix (7%), #39 CartoonNetwork +14%, #45 BlackPlanet +3%, #57 ProjectPlaylist +610%, #67 Nick +7%, #68 PBSKids +6%, #76 USAToday (32%), #79 FoxNews +29%, #96 Hi5 (8%), #99 NYTimes (21%), #135 BBC (32%), #147 MarketWatch (18%), #188 TheStreet +216%, #196 DrudgeReport +21%. More here.

Not exactly correct, yet: Yes, I have been talking with a pub about doing a column. No, a deal has not been made (can't believe everything you read). This scribbling is free. I'm a known Creative Commons guy. Commercial pubs are and should be a different story. Not willing to write for free or almost free when the publisher is making a good buck. A deal might happen, or not. Honored, nonetheless. Thanks for all the emails and good words. Stay tuned.

Bravos! The Google Gmail gang (Seattle) debuts group chat and rich emoticons. Very cool. More here.

Bonus: ze jumping that gap between zero and one.


Congrats & cheers: Drew Horowitz named Best Manager in Radio by Radio Ink. Well deserved, Drew is a rock star playing at the top of his game. TiVo signs NBCU as first major broadcaster to purchase set-top box data. Emeril Lagasse marks 30 on Emeril Live!, the BAM! that first put Food Network on the national radar over ten years ago. Google AdWords team signing their first TV industry reseller covering 26 markets - Hearst-Argyle. Eddie Webb back, right where he belongs, in Chicago, afternoons at WLUP. Charlie Koones leaving Variety to lead a media/entertainment startup, he's shopping for money. ABC on their big win with Shrek, 21.2 million viewers, 7.2 rating 18-49, this should lockup their #1 finish. ABC also banked success with their Stars finale - 24.9 million viewers, 6.4 rating 18-49. The sweeps first place show honors remain with CBS, the CSI season opener posting 25.5 million viewers. Radio star Wendy Williams and Debmar-Mercury to co-pro the new Wendy Williams TV Show set to debut in the city next year, national launch to follow (Might be a great vehicle for one of the NBCU properties?). Anton Guitano named CFO at CBS Radio.